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Apparently, I was only a moderately-good nonprofit technology pundit in 2006. Jason’s keeping score.

On the plus side, at least I made falsifiable predictions, unlike many of my peers. ;-)

Jon Stahl, ONE/Northwest
“The Web 2.0 bubble will burst”
Ruling: Since “Web 2.0″ has been famously impossible to define, this is a tough one to score. On the one hand, cognoscenti are pretty sick of hearing about it, and that’s bubble-bursty. On the other hand, despite some deflation, the hype of web 2.0 tools and tactics got air from the election cycle (thank you, George Allen) and never truly imploded. It’s not a bad prediction for ‘07 … nothing like hitting the cover of Time to ossify a trend in its tracks. -1
“This will be the year of of open-source content management systems.”
Ruling: They’re penetrating far and wide. 2
TOTAL SCORE

2 Responses to “Me Pundit Not So Great.”

  1. Beth says:

    Yep, I guess I should get a little bolder!!! :-) I can’t wait to see if your “Jump the shark” prediction comes true.

  2. Jason Z. says:

    I don’t know, Jon, there are poorer pundits drawing pay from the New York Times every week. One hit, plus one maybe-miss that could just turn out to have been like calling the top of the NASDAQ in 1999?

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